by Mark A. Siegel Center for Global Affairs, New York University, Midway to the Midterms: Politics, Priorities and Politics, Lecture 5, October 25, 2021 The opinions expressed in this lecture are solely those of the author. It has often been said that one of the keys to understanding history and…

This chart uses the latest polling data in states with the time each state closes its polls on election night (Eastern Standard Time), factoring in whether mail and/or in-person voting have been processed before Election Day so that state results will likely be projected quickly. The chart provides a running…

by Mark Siegel Current political chatter is increasingly focused on the likelihood of a surging blue electoral wave in November, toppling Donald Trump’s presidency and Mitch McConnell’s Republican Senate. But there are also hidden currents and riptides not yet being discussed that may be the most critical factors in shaping…

On Super Tuesday, March 3rd, the 14 states that are holding primaries constitute 40% of the US population. They’ll elect a third of the pledged delegates to the Milwaukee convention. …

As one of the principle drafters of the rules by which the Democratic Party selects its presidential candidates, I see an increasing possibility, now even approaching a probability, that for the first time since 1952 we will see a Democratic National Convention second convention ballot. And as the person who…